Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.166093 0.186327 0.207426 0.231017 0.256602 0.283457 0.313723
2025-01-26 0.139157 0.166656 0.196715 0.231831 0.271540 0.314866 0.365519
2025-02-02 0.122862 0.155658 0.192972 0.238175 0.291042 0.350511 0.422040
2025-02-09 0.107149 0.143121 0.185593 0.238765 0.302843 0.376866 0.468092
2025-02-16 0.095981 0.134551 0.181642 0.242339 0.317412 0.406131 0.517733
2025-02-23 0.088766 0.129962 0.181778 0.250283 0.336930 0.441317 0.574901
2025-03-02 0.078504 0.120306 0.174537 0.248122 0.343311 0.460206 0.612339
2025-03-09 0.070640 0.113021 0.169614 0.248257 0.352081 0.481781 0.653116
2025-03-16 0.063310 0.105726 0.163998 0.246866 0.358415 0.500037 0.689749
2025-03-23 0.059073 0.102421 0.163458 0.251987 0.373132 0.529027 0.740289
2025-03-30 0.053757 0.097005 0.159503 0.252033 0.380809 0.548822 0.779185
2025-04-06 0.048932 0.091873 0.155535 0.251683 0.387680 0.567451 0.816669
2025-04-13 0.043992 0.086272 0.150714 0.250135 0.393191 0.584901 0.853738
2025-04-20 0.040535 0.082743 0.148721 0.252479 0.404063 0.609669 0.900899
2025-04-27 0.038640 0.081642 0.150325 0.260094 0.422507 0.645014 0.962794
2025-05-04 0.035470 0.078033 0.147733 0.261200 0.431523 0.667505 1.007658
2025-05-11 0.033217 0.075822 0.147186 0.265296 0.444863 0.696124 1.061238
2025-05-18 0.032042 0.075464 0.149588 0.273961 0.465048 0.734603 1.128886
2025-05-25 0.028951 0.071197 0.145212 0.271731 0.468876 0.749999 1.164805
2025-06-01 0.026569 0.068046 0.142488 0.271923 0.476215 0.770378 1.207837
2025-06-08 0.024137 0.064530 0.138883 0.270459 0.480873 0.786869 1.245545
2025-06-15 0.022968 0.063492 0.139551 0.275964 0.496290 0.819093 1.305833
2025-06-22 0.021107 0.060787 0.137040 0.276022 0.503166 0.838902 1.348692